+10 votes
by (1.9k points)
Has anyone played with stock options? I’m very bullish on Tesla and predict they will double in a year. There’s an option for $1600 more than 2 years out I’m considering. I’ve never done stock options. I like the idea of limited downside. If it hits $1600 in a year (off a 2 year contract) is the upside worth it? Thoughts? (I understand this is gambling and not investing).  
Has anyone played with stock options?

8 Answers

+8 votes
by (710 points)
 
Best answer
Remember that options are priced so you lose money over time is you're only long. Treat it exactly as a casino and you'll be fine
+2 votes
by (390 points)
I trade them. I wouldn't risk more than you're willing to lose.  
+8 votes
by (1.1k points)
I bought Tesla stock on cash app
+7 votes
by (1.9k points)
Yeah I might dabble. We’ll see. Only a small amount I’m okay losing.  
+8 votes
by (1.9k points)
I just have no clue what the upside could look like. So will play and see. Hopefully some upside lol
+7 votes
by (3.3k points)
Well it's roughly $60 per share now, so are you willing to lose 6k? It would need to be over 1660 to break even
0 votes
by (6.1k points)
If you've never done options and you have the premium to lose, you can try it. You can always come out of the option early if you see it losing more than you want or gaining more than expected. Generally option traders have rules.  
+7 votes
by (1.8k points)
Be super careful these are headwinds that will absolutely effect Tesla’s profitability it’s just a matter of by how much 1. Their federal tax credit has expired all other car companies can basically give a $7500 discount on their EVs except for GM who’s credits have also expired 2. Tesla makes the most profit from premium models the S and X. This year many premium EVs will eat the sales of these now outdated models Porsche Taycan, Ford Mustang, Audi Etron, Hummer, Jaguar Ipace just to name the big companies as well as independents like Rivian, NIO ect all looking to swipe premium sales. 3. Be warned of the numbers take a good look at how Tesla prints numbers they do not include warranty claims and have been accused many times of cooking the books. All other manufacturers include warranty. Many many executive have left their team in the past two years from the accounting department where there is smoke there is usually fire. 4. Car sales across the board seem to be falling from all manufactures this is a warning sign of the economy but also people are driving cars for longer. Cars are in general much better made these days. 5. They are way behind in AI technology GM, Waymo, Argo just to name a few are way more advanced in AI tech 6. Corona virus is a real threat to expansion plans in China they say car sales have dropped 95% already. Not to mention supply chain problems for all manufacturers. FYI I wouldn’t dare short Tesla so I’m not a big bear on them as I think the market is completely illogical on their valuation of Tesla products. However you could get your faced ripped off trying to call this company. As another said swing trade them for safety. Way less risky!  
by (1.8k points)
To think that the big manufacturers can not produce electric vehicles is nonsense. Couple that with the fact that they are way way behind in AI tech. And even just yesterday the NTSB criticized Tesla’s “lack of system safeguards” and rushing out the technology before it was safe to do so in the deaths of 3 people directly attributed to their Self driving technology or lack of.  
by (1.8k points)
I mentioned Corona Virus as one of the reasons not to call that came true now watch and see what happens with the others. I tried not to post anything that was opinion and tried to keep it factual as actual problems they will need to overcome rather than just an opinion that they are over priced. FYI I put all my 401k and retirement into cash on the 20th. I am short everything right now. Tesla is no exception but I think tech stocks will suffer exponentially compared to others. So far I’ve watched the market blow off a ton of value whilst maintaining all my gains on the year. I will buy back in as soon as I feel like this rediculously overvalued market has come to a bottom. I will probably get that exact point wrong but for now I’m ok with sitting on the sidelines getting 2% for my money that risking it in this climate
by (1.9k points)
@ditmore good call.  
by (1.9k points)
@ditmore I now have the funds available and ready to go. But seeing the volatility I’m waiting to see if there is another dip into the $600s. If not I may hold off pulling the trigger. If it gets down to ~$650 again, might be a go.  
by (1.8k points)
@flinn good luck, your a braver man than me!  
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